PREDICTION TIME.
Here are my presidential predictions -- amazingly, we could know if the basic contours of this are right by 7:30 eastern tomorrow night..
Electoral College
Obama/Biden: 367 (All the Kerry states plus NM, IA, CO, VA, OH, FL, NC, ND, MO)
McCain/Palin: 171 (All the other states)
Popular Vote (Rounded)
Obama/Biden: 53%
McCain/Palin: 46%
Other: 1%
Total turnout: 135,000,000
And the 111th Congress:
111th Congress - Senate
Democrats: 58 (pick-ups in VA, NM, CO, NH, OR, NC, AK, MN, GA)
Republicans: 40 (no pick-ups)
Other: 2 (Bernie Sanders (I-VT) caucuses with the Democrats, Joe Lieberman (I-CT) will leave the Democratic caucus)
* Barack Obama and Joe Biden will both be replaced with new Democratic Senators.
111th Congress - House of Representatives
Democrats: 258
Republicans: 177
Some states require December 2 run-offs if no candidate gets 50% of the vote, which could affect the composition of the House and the Georgia Senate race.
Also, Prop 8 in California will fail.
I sure hope I'm right.
